Tromsovs
Sarpsborg 08 FF
COMPLETEDNorway · Eliteserien · 8/30/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tromso · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 1-0 (11%), 1-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tromso 0-0 Sarpsborg 08 FF
Original prediction
Tromso
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.70 | 55.1% | 64.4% | 9.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.95 | 23.7% | 20.1% | -3.6 pts |
| Away | 4.41 | 21.2% | 15.6% | -5.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.95 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–012%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.1–111%
Predicted outcome
Tromso
Probability
64.4%
Model confidence
64.4%
Tromso has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TromsoLDLWW
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Sarpsborg 08 FFLLDWD
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
TromsoSarpsborg 08 FF
66.7Attack39.2
60.8Defence54.9
66.7Form43.1
63.3Power48.1
2.04xG0.81