Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tromso · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Tromso are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Molde are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Tromso hold an 11.9-point power-rating edge (65.9 v 54.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.0% in the Eliteserien, while Tromso holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tromso
Probability
60.6%
Model confidence
10.0%
Tromso has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80