Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tromso · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tromso 1-1 KFUM Oslo
Original prediction
Tromso
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.45 | 64.1% | 66.5% | 2.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.42 | 21.1% | 18.5% | -2.6 pts |
| Away | 6.27 | 14.8% | 15.0% | 0.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.42 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–010%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
Tromso
Probability
66.5%
Model confidence
66.5%
Tromso has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TromsoDWWLL
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
KFUM OsloWWWWL
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
TromsoKFUM Oslo
62.1Attack40.9
54.5Defence45.5
59.1Form42.4
58.0Power45.2
2.28xG0.99