UEFA Europa LeagueUEFA Europa League
Thursday, 23 July 2026Last updated 10:02
Tromso

Tromso

Home
W
01
Full time
Hradec Králové

Hradec Králové

Away
D
Alfheim
GoalVio prediction
44% confidence
Tromso(44%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Tromso
44%
Draw
26%
Hradec Králové
30%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Tromso
99
Hradec Králové
34
Defence
Tromso
91
Hradec Králové
66
Momentum
Tromso
100
Hradec Králové
33
Danger (xG)
Tromso
1.39
Hradec Králové
0.90
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Tromso)
1.39
avg per match
xG for (Hradec Králové)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Tromso)
0.78
avg per match
xG against (Hradec Králové)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
TromsoTromso
WL
Hradec KrálovéHradec Králové
DW

Probability breakdown

44% confidence
Tromso44%
Draw26%
Hradec Králové30%

Tromso leads with 44% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Tromso head into this in UEFA Europa League fixture at Alfheim in mixed form (W), while Hradec Králové arrive in mixed form (D). Tromso have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Hradec Králové over 1 games.

Tactically, this looks like a one-sided contest. Tromso's elite attack (99/100) faces a solid Hradec Králové defence (66/100), while Hradec Králové's attack is up against a watertight Tromso backline. The model sees a clear mismatch in Tromso's favour.

Tromso have won all 1 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 4.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per game at home. Hradec Králové have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

Tromso have generated 1.39 xG per game recently while conceding 0.78 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches.

There is no head-to-head data between Tromso and Hradec Králové in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Tromso to win with 44% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Tromso 4403%, Draw 2568%, Hradec Králové 3030%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Tromso

Tromso

W
vs Valerenga
11 Jul 2026
40
xG 1.4
L
@ Bodo/Glimt
16 May 2026
05
Hradec Králové

Hradec Králové

D
@ Wolfsberger AC
13 Jul 2026
11
W
vs Slovan Liberec
13 May 2026
10

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Tromso vs Hradec Králové?

GoalVio's model predicts Tromso to win with 44% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Tromso vs Hradec Králové?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Tromso vs Hradec Králové?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Tromso vs Hradec Králové?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more