Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tromso · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (9%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tromso 3-2 Ham-Kam
Original prediction
Tromso
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.44 | 64.6% | 71.9% | 7.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.59 | 20.3% | 15.7% | -4.6 pts |
| Away | 6.20 | 15.0% | 12.5% | -2.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.44 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.3–19%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Tromso
Probability
71.9%
Model confidence
71.9%
Tromso has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TromsoWLLDL
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Ham-KamWLLDW
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
TromsoHam-Kam
61.7Attack45.0
55.0Defence31.7
58.3Form38.3
57.4Power39.8
2.87xG1.06