Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tromso · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Tromso are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Brann are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Tromso hold a 13.2-point power-rating edge (65.9 v 52.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.5% in the Eliteserien, while Tromso holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tromso
Probability
62.4%
Model confidence
9.5%
Tromso has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 1 · avg 1.60/0.20
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60