Tromsø IIvs
Kongsvinger II
COMPLETEDNorway · 3. Division - Girone 5 · 9/21/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tromsø II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 2-1 (7%), 3-2 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tromsø II 6-0 Kongsvinger II
Original prediction
Tromsø II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 7 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.67 | 53.8% | 45.5% | -8.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.23 | 21.2% | 24.3% | 3.1 pts |
| Away | 3.59 | 25.0% | 30.2% | 5.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.67 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–27%
- 2.2–17%
- 3.3–26%
Predicted outcome
Tromsø II
Probability
45.5%
Model confidence
45.5%
Tromsø II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00
GF 6 · GA 18 · avg 1.20/3.60