Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Harstad · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 2-1 (7%), 1-2 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tromsø II 0-1 Harstad
Original prediction
Harstad
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.60 | 25.0% | 35.1% | 10.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.50 | 20.0% | 23.8% | 3.8 pts |
| Away | 1.64 | 55.0% | 41.1% | -13.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.64 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–27%
- 2.2–17%
- 3.1–26%
Predicted outcome
Harstad
Probability
41.1%
Model confidence
41.1%
Harstad has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Tromsø IILDWLW
GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
HarstadWWWLW
GF 19 · GA 8 · avg 3.80/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Tromsø IIHarstad
100.0Attack100.0
50.0Defence100.0
66.7Form100.0
71.2Power97.0
2.34xG2.23