Trollhättanvs
Utsikten
COMPLETEDSweden · Ettan - Södra · 9/11/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Trollhättan · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 3-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Trollhättan 5-0 Utsikten
Original prediction
Trollhättan
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.37 | 66.2% | 58.5% | -7.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.72 | 19.3% | 22.2% | 2.9 pts |
| Away | 6.25 | 14.5% | 19.4% | 4.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.37 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–010%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.3–09%
Predicted outcome
Trollhättan
Probability
58.5%
Model confidence
58.5%
Trollhättan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60