Trollhättanvs
Tvååker
COMPLETEDSweden · Ettan - Södra · 9/26/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Trollhättan · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-0 (11%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Trollhättan 4-2 Tvååker
Original prediction
Trollhättan
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.64 | 55.3% | 53.4% | -1.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.16 | 21.8% | 23.9% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 3.94 | 23.0% | 22.7% | -0.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.64 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–011%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Trollhättan
Probability
53.4%
Model confidence
53.4%
Trollhättan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 6 · avg 3.00/1.20
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20