Trollhättanvs
Jonkopings Sodra
COMPLETEDSweden · Ettan - Södra · 10/24/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Trollhättan · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (11%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Trollhättan 2-4 Jonkopings Sodra
Original prediction
Trollhättan
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 18:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.40 | 37.8% | 40.4% | 2.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.17 | 28.6% | 26.7% | -1.9 pts |
| Away | 2.70 | 33.6% | 32.9% | -0.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Trollhättan
Probability
40.4%
Model confidence
40.4%
Trollhättan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60