GGOALVIO

Sweden · Svenska Cupen · 6/8/2023, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Trollhättan · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Trollhättan are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Ahlafors are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Trollhättan hold a 9.7-point power-rating edge (41.7 v 32.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.6% in the Svenska Cupen, while Trollhättan holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Trollhättan

Probability

41.6%

Model confidence

41.6%

Trollhättan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TrollhättanDDWDW

GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
AhlaforsLWWWD

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
TrollhättanAhlafors
66.7Attack100.0
0.0Defence0.0
50.0Form0.0
41.7Power32.0
2.22xG1.82
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