Trnjevs
Koprivnica
COMPLETEDCroatia · Second NL · 9/5/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Koprivnica · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Trnje 1-0 Koprivnica
Original prediction
Koprivnica
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.06 | 44.0% | 33.2% | -10.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.51 | 25.8% | 28.1% | 2.3 pts |
| Away | 2.98 | 30.3% | 38.8% | 8.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
Koprivnica
Probability
38.8%
Model confidence
38.8%
Koprivnica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20