Türkspor Neckarsulmvs
FC 08 Villingen
COMPLETEDGermany · Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg · 10/11/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC 08 Villingen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-3 (12%), 0-4 (10%), 0-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Türkspor Neckarsulm 2-3 FC 08 Villingen
Original prediction
FC 08 Villingen
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 September 2026 at 05:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.76 | 23.9% | 11.8% | -12.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.06 | 22.2% | 14.3% | -7.8 pts |
| Away | 1.67 | 53.9% | 73.9% | 20.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.67 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
20.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–312%
- 2.0–410%
- 3.0–210%
Predicted outcome
FC 08 Villingen
Probability
73.9%
Model confidence
73.9%
FC 08 Villingen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 18 · avg 1.20/3.60
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80