GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Westfalen · 8/20/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Türkspor Dortmund · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-0

Highconfidence

Türkspor Dortmund are 2W-2D-0L in their last 4 (DDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.25 conceded, while Sprockhovel are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 3.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 9 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Türkspor Dortmund hold a 35.8-point power-rating edge (70.3 v 34.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 85.1% in the Oberliga - Westfalen, while Türkspor Dortmund holds the strongest overall chance at 85% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Türkspor Dortmund

Probability

85.1%

Model confidence

85.1%

Türkspor Dortmund has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Türkspor DortmundDDWW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.25

BTTS 4/4O2.5 2/4
SprockhovelDWWWW

GF 19 · GA 5 · avg 3.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Türkspor DortmundSprockhovel
80.4Attack47.1
59.8Defence28.4
72.5Form24.5
70.3Power34.5
4.23xG0.95
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