GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 9/20/2025, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Türkspor Augsburg · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Türkspor Augsburg are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while TuS Geretsried are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Türkspor Augsburg hold a 7.0-point power-rating edge (37.2 v 30.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.5% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Türkspor Augsburg holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Türkspor Augsburg

Probability

35.5%

Model confidence

35.5%

Türkspor Augsburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Türkspor AugsburgLWWDD

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
TuS GeretsriedLLLDL

GF 2 · GA 11 · avg 0.40/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Türkspor AugsburgTuS Geretsried
28.4Attack26.7
49.0Defence20.0
28.4Form33.3
37.2Power30.2
1.23xG1.11
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