GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 9/30/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sonthofen · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Türkspor Augsburg are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Sonthofen are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Sonthofen hold a 12.5-point power-rating edge (37.2 v 49.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.7% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Sonthofen holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sonthofen

Probability

48.7%

Model confidence

48.7%

Sonthofen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Türkspor AugsburgDLLLD

GF 2 · GA 11 · avg 0.40/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
SonthofenLWWLL

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Türkspor AugsburgSonthofen
28.4Attack52.0
49.0Defence51.0
28.4Form44.1
37.2Power49.7
0.88xG1.53
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