GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 8/9/2023, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nordlingen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Türkspor Augsburg are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Nordlingen are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Nordlingen hold a 20.3-point power-rating edge (37.2 v 57.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.2% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Nordlingen holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nordlingen

Probability

59.2%

Model confidence

59.2%

Nordlingen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Türkspor AugsburgLLLWL

GF 2 · GA 14 · avg 0.40/2.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
NordlingenWWLLL

GF 10 · GA 13 · avg 2.00/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Türkspor AugsburgNordlingen
28.4Attack64.7
49.0Defence51.0
28.4Form56.9
37.2Power57.5
0.85xG1.95
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