GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 8/6/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Türkspor Augsburg are 1W-0D-3L in their last 4 (LLWL), averaging 0.50 scored and 2.25 conceded, while Kottern are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (WLDL), averaging 0.75 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 8 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Türkspor Augsburg hold a 6.9-point power-rating edge (37.2 v 30.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.4% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

34.4%

Model confidence

34.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Türkspor AugsburgLLWL

GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.50/2.25

BTTS 1/4O2.5 2/4
KotternWLDL

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.75/2.00

BTTS 1/4O2.5 2/4
Türkspor AugsburgKottern
28.4Attack33.3
49.0Defence26.7
28.4Form20.0
37.2Power30.3
1.18xG1.17
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