GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 9/22/2024, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Heimstetten · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Türkspor Augsburg are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Heimstetten are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Heimstetten hold a 15.8-point power-rating edge (37.2 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.5% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Heimstetten holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Heimstetten

Probability

49.5%

Model confidence

49.5%

Heimstetten has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Türkspor AugsburgWLWDW

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
HeimstettenWLLLL

GF 8 · GA 14 · avg 1.60/2.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Türkspor AugsburgHeimstetten
28.4Attack53.3
49.0Defence53.3
28.4Form46.7
37.2Power53.0
0.86xG1.55
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