Türkspor Augsburgvs
Erlbach
COMPLETEDGermany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 9/17/2023, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Erlbach · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Türkspor Augsburg are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Erlbach are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Erlbach hold a 21.4-point power-rating edge (37.2 v 58.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.0% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Erlbach holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Erlbach
Probability
52.0%
Model confidence
52.0%
Erlbach has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80