GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 9/17/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Erlbach · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Türkspor Augsburg are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Erlbach are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Erlbach hold a 21.4-point power-rating edge (37.2 v 58.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.0% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Erlbach holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Erlbach

Probability

52.0%

Model confidence

52.0%

Erlbach has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Türkspor AugsburgLLDLD

GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
ErlbachLLWWD

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Türkspor AugsburgErlbach
28.4Attack46.7
49.0Defence73.3
28.4Form53.3
37.2Power58.6
0.69xG1.47
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