World Cup
Türkiye
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Türkiye leads with 42% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.
Match insights
Türkiye head into this in World Cup fixture at Levi's Stadium in mixed form (WLL), while Paraguay arrive in mixed form (LDDWL). Türkiye have a 33% win rate across their last 3 matches, compared to 20% for Paraguay over 5 games.
The model rates Türkiye's attack at 34/100 against a 58/100 Paraguay defence, and Paraguay's attack at 21/100 against a 39/100 Türkiye backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.
Türkiye have won 1 of their last 2 home fixtures, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game at home. Paraguay have won 1 of their last 3 away fixtures, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per away game.
Türkiye have generated 1.87 xG per game recently while conceding 0.29 xG per match, underperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches. Paraguay have generated 0.35 xG per game recently while conceding 1.68 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches.
Paraguay have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 1.0 goals per game.
The GoalVio engine projects Türkiye to win with 46% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Türkiye 4240%, Draw 2770%, Paraguay 2990%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.
Head to head
Recent form
Türkiye
Paraguay
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Türkiye vs Paraguay?
GoalVio's model predicts Türkiye to win with 46% confidence.
What is the predicted score for Türkiye vs Paraguay?
The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.
Will both teams score in Türkiye vs Paraguay?
GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Türkiye vs Paraguay?
GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.