GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 7/21/2025, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Erlbach · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Türkgücü-Ataspor are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Erlbach are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Erlbach hold a 36.6-point power-rating edge (22.0 v 58.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 73.3% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Erlbach holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Erlbach

Probability

73.3%

Model confidence

73.3%

Erlbach has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Türkgücü-AtasporLLDLD

GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.40/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
ErlbachLWDDL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Türkgücü-AtasporErlbach
21.9Attack46.7
18.8Defence73.3
13.5Form53.3
22.0Power58.6
0.65xG2.45
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