Trival Valderasvs
Las Rozas
COMPLETEDSpain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 · 10/4/2026, 9:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Trival Valderas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Trival Valderas 2-1 Las Rozas
Original prediction
Trival Valderas
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 October 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.31 | 39.4% | 39.4% | 0.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.17 | 28.7% | 27.4% | -1.3 pts |
| Away | 2.85 | 31.9% | 33.2% | 1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.31 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Trival Valderas
Probability
39.4%
Model confidence
39.4%
Trival Valderas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 0 · avg 1.00/0.00
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40