Tritons Vallartavs
Zacatepec 1948
COMPLETEDMexico · Primera Premier · 9/11/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tritons Vallarta · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tritons Vallarta 1-1 Zacatepec 1948
Original prediction
Tritons Vallarta
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 1 September 2026 at 15:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.37 | 38.1% | 37.2% | -0.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.12 | 28.8% | 27.9% | -0.9 pts |
| Away | 2.72 | 33.1% | 34.8% | 1.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.12 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Tritons Vallarta
Probability
37.2%
Model confidence
37.2%
Tritons Vallarta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80