Tritiumvs
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie D - Girone B · 10/25/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tritium · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tritium 2-0 Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
Original prediction
Tritium
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 15 October 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.74 | 32.4% | 36.8% | 4.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.04 | 29.2% | 28.7% | -0.5 pts |
| Away | 2.31 | 38.5% | 34.5% | -4.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.74 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Tritium
Probability
36.8%
Model confidence
36.8%
Tritium has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80