Tristan Suarezvs
San Martin Tucuman
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 9/5/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tristan Suarez · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Tristan Suarez 0-0 San Martin Tucuman, with an exact score probability of 33%.
Prediction record
Final result
Tristan Suarez 2-0 San Martin Tucuman
Original prediction
Tristan Suarez
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.20 | 41.6% | 43.2% | 1.6 pts |
| Draw | 2.78 | 33.0% | 36.6% | 3.6 pts |
| Away | 3.61 | 25.4% | 20.3% | -5.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.20 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.6 pts
Projected Score
Tristan Suarez 0–0 San Martin Tucuman
Exact score probability: 33%
Predicted outcome
Tristan Suarez
Probability
43.2%
Model confidence
43.2%
Tristan Suarez has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40