GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 3/1/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Tristan Suarez are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDLDW), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.40 conceded, while San Martin S.J. are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Tristan Suarez hold a 9.7-point power-rating edge (61.0 v 51.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.0% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 19% BTTS chance and 11% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

49.0%

Model confidence

49.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tristan SuarezDDLDW

GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 0.40/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
San Martin S.J.WWDLD

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Tristan SuarezSan Martin S.J.
33.3Attack34.8
82.6Defence66.7
60.9Form44.9
61.0Power51.3
0.75xG0.41
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