Tristan Suarezvs
Quilmes
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 10/3/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Tristan Suarez 0-0 Quilmes, with an exact score probability of 36%.
Prediction record
Final result
Tristan Suarez 0-0 Quilmes
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.14 | 43.0% | 41.9% | -1.2 pts |
| Draw | 2.73 | 33.7% | 38.0% | 4.3 pts |
| Away | 3.97 | 23.2% | 20.1% | -3.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.73 · Draw 1.73 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.3 pts
Projected Score
Tristan Suarez 0–0 Quilmes
Exact score probability: 36%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
38.0%
Model confidence
41.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Tristan SuarezWDDDW
GF 3 · GA 0 · avg 0.60/0.00
BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
QuilmesWLWLL
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Tristan SuarezQuilmes
34.4Attack32.3
83.9Defence71.0
61.3Form40.9
61.8Power49.2
0.68xG0.38