Tristan Suarezvs
Patronato
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 10/17/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tristan Suarez · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Tristan Suarez 0-0 Patronato, with an exact score probability of 36%.
Prediction record
Final result
Tristan Suarez 1-0 Patronato
Original prediction
Tristan Suarez
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 06:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.81 | 50.6% | 46.1% | -4.5 pts |
| Draw | 2.95 | 31.0% | 36.6% | 5.6 pts |
| Away | 4.99 | 18.4% | 17.3% | -1.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.81 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.5 pts
Projected Score
Tristan Suarez 0–0 Patronato
Exact score probability: 36%
Predicted outcome
Tristan Suarez
Probability
46.1%
Model confidence
46.1%
Tristan Suarez has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 0 · avg 0.20/0.00
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40