GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 4/26/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Tristan Suarez are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Gimnasia Y Tiro are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 0 passed 2.5 goals, and Tristan Suarez hold a 6.3-point power-rating edge (61.0 v 54.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.8% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 18% BTTS chance and 10% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

50.8%

Model confidence

50.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tristan SuarezDDLWW

GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 0.60/0.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
Gimnasia Y TiroDDLDL

GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
Tristan SuarezGimnasia Y Tiro
33.3Attack36.1
82.6Defence69.4
60.9Form51.4
61.0Power54.7
0.68xG0.43
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