Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional
Sunday, 26 July 2026Last updated 15:01
Tristan Suarez

Tristan Suarez

Home
W
10
Full time
Chacarita Juniors

Chacarita Juniors

Away
D
Estadio 20 de Octubre
GoalVio prediction
46% confidence
Tristan Suarez(46%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Win probability
Tristan Suarez
46%
Draw
30%
Chacarita Juniors
24%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Tristan Suarez
34
Chacarita Juniors
34
Defence
Tristan Suarez
91
Chacarita Juniors
66
Momentum
Tristan Suarez
100
Chacarita Juniors
33
Danger (xG)
Tristan Suarez
0.90
Chacarita Juniors
0.90
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Tristan Suarez)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Chacarita Juniors)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Tristan Suarez)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Chacarita Juniors)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Tristan SuarezTristan Suarez
WD
Chacarita JuniorsChacarita Juniors
DDL

Probability breakdown

46% confidence
Tristan Suarez46%
Draw30%
Chacarita Juniors24%

Tristan Suarez leads with 46% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Tristan Suarez head into this in Primera Nacional fixture at Estadio 20 de Octubre in mixed form (W), while Chacarita Juniors arrive in mixed form (D). Tristan Suarez have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Chacarita Juniors over 1 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Tristan Suarez (91/100) and Chacarita Juniors (66/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Tristan Suarez have won all 1 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per game at home. Chacarita Juniors have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

The last 1 meetings between these sides have been evenly split, with 1 draw, averaging 0.0 goals per game.

The GoalVio engine projects Tristan Suarez to win with 46% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Tristan Suarez 4608%, Draw 2965%, Chacarita Juniors 2427%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

Tristan Suarez 0Draws 10 Chacarita Juniors
Avg goals: 0.0
21 Jun 2026
Tristan Suarez
D00
Chacarita Juniors

Recent form

Tristan Suarez

Tristan Suarez

W
vs Nueva Chicago
11 Jul 2026
10
D
@ Chacarita Juniors
21 Jun 2026
00
Chacarita Juniors

Chacarita Juniors

D
@ Gimnasia Jujuy
12 Jul 2026
11
D
vs Tristan Suarez
21 Jun 2026
00
L
vs Temperley
7 Jun 2026
01

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Tristan Suarez vs Chacarita Juniors?

GoalVio's model predicts Tristan Suarez to win with 46% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Tristan Suarez vs Chacarita Juniors?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Tristan Suarez vs Chacarita Juniors?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Tristan Suarez vs Chacarita Juniors?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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