Tristan Suarezvs
Atlanta
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 9/21/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tristan Suarez · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Tristan Suarez 0-0 Atlanta, with an exact score probability of 30%.
Prediction record
Final result
Tristan Suarez 0-0 Atlanta
Original prediction
Tristan Suarez
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.93 | 47.3% | 43.5% | -3.8 pts |
| Draw | 2.88 | 31.7% | 35.0% | 3.3 pts |
| Away | 4.34 | 21.0% | 21.5% | 0.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.88 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.8 pts
Projected Score
Tristan Suarez 0–0 Atlanta
Exact score probability: 30%
Predicted outcome
Tristan Suarez
Probability
43.5%
Model confidence
43.5%
Tristan Suarez has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60