Tripoli SCvs
Tadamon Sour
COMPLETEDLebanon · Premier League · 10/23/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tripoli SC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tripoli SC 1-2 Tadamon Sour
Original prediction
Tripoli SC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 12:40 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.09 | 42.9% | 42.1% | -0.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.16 | 28.3% | 27.1% | -1.3 pts |
| Away | 3.11 | 28.8% | 30.8% | 2.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Tripoli SC
Probability
42.1%
Model confidence
42.1%
Tripoli SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 1 · avg 1.40/0.20
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20