Tripoli SCvs
Al Akhaa Al Ahli
COMPLETEDLebanon · Premier League · 10/13/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tripoli SC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tripoli SC 2-0 Al Akhaa Al Ahli
Original prediction
Tripoli SC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 12:40 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.03 | 44.4% | 43.7% | -0.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.13 | 28.8% | 27.9% | -0.9 pts |
| Away | 3.37 | 26.8% | 28.4% | 1.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.03 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Tripoli SC
Probability
43.7%
Model confidence
43.7%
Tripoli SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 0 · GA 2 · avg 0.00/2.00