Trinidad and Tobagovs
Dominican Republic
COMPLETEDWorld · CONCACAF Nations League · 9/28/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dominican Republic · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 1-3 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Trinidad and Tobago 1-2 Dominican Republic
Original prediction
Dominican Republic
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 16 September 2026 at 18:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.41 | 38.0% | 27.9% | -10.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.45 | 26.6% | 22.7% | -3.9 pts |
| Away | 2.59 | 35.4% | 49.4% | 14.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.59 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
14.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.1–38%
Predicted outcome
Dominican Republic
Probability
49.4%
Model confidence
49.4%
Dominican Republic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 15 · avg 0.40/3.00
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00