Trinidad and Tobagovs
Curaçao
COMPLETEDWorld · CONCACAF Nations League · 10/4/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Curaçao · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 0-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Trinidad and Tobago 1-1 Curaçao
Original prediction
Curaçao
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 16 September 2026 at 18:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.71 | 16.0% | 23.3% | 7.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.44 | 20.6% | 23.1% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 1.44 | 63.4% | 53.6% | -9.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.44 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–210%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.0–27%
Predicted outcome
Curaçao
Probability
53.6%
Model confidence
53.6%
Curaçao has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00
GF 16 · GA 8 · avg 3.20/1.60