Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Trindade are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Mineiros are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 0.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 6 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Mineiros hold a 3.6-point power-rating edge (31.0 v 34.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.1% in the Goiano - 2, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
37.1%
Model confidence
37.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 0 · GA 1 · avg 0.00/1.00