Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Goianésia · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Trindade 0-1 Goianésia, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Trindade 1-0 Goianésia
Original prediction
Goianésia
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.30 | 20.9% | 14.8% | -6.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.27 | 27.5% | 23.9% | -3.5 pts |
| Away | 1.74 | 51.6% | 61.3% | 9.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.6 pts
Projected Score
Trindade 0–1 Goianésia
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Goianésia
Probability
61.3%
Model confidence
61.3%
Goianésia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TrindadeLLDLD
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
GoianésiaDWDDW
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
TrindadeGoianésia
25.0Attack47.2
44.4Defence61.1
13.9Form63.9
31.0Power60.5
0.57xG1.58