Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Crixás EC · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Trindade are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Crixás EC are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDDLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Crixás EC hold a 6.0-point power-rating edge (28.0 v 34.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.6% in the Goiano - 2, while Crixás EC holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Crixás EC
Probability
38.1%
Model confidence
13.6%
Crixás EC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20