Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Trikala · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Trikala are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 1.50 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Larisa are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 7 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Trikala hold a 3.6-point power-rating edge (47.8 v 44.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.9% in the Cup, while Trikala holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Trikala
Probability
43.0%
Model confidence
11.9%
Trikala has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 1.50/2.00
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40