Triglavvs
Slovan Ljubljana
COMPLETEDSlovenia · 2. SNL · 9/20/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Triglav · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Triglav 3-0 Slovan Ljubljana
Original prediction
Triglav
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.28 | 69.7% | 58.2% | -11.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.87 | 18.3% | 22.8% | 4.5 pts |
| Away | 7.43 | 12.0% | 19.0% | 7.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.28 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–012%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Triglav
Probability
58.2%
Model confidence
58.2%
Triglav has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TriglavWLWWL
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Slovan LjubljanaDLWWW
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
TriglavSlovan Ljubljana
100.0Attack35.6
100.0Defence42.2
100.0Form35.6
97.0Power40.0
2.27xG0.80