Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Triglav · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Triglav are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Beltinci are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Triglav hold a 3.7-point power-rating edge (70.6 v 66.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.0% in the 2. SNL, while Triglav holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Triglav
Probability
43.0%
Model confidence
43.0%
Triglav has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20