Triestinavs
Virtus Verona
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 10/19/2024, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Triestina · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Triestina are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Virtus Verona are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Triestina hold an 11.7-point power-rating edge (58.1 v 46.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.1% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Triestina holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Triestina
Probability
50.1%
Model confidence
50.1%
Triestina has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80