Triestinavs
Virtus Verona
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 4/7/2024, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Triestina · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Triestina are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Virtus Verona are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Triestina hold an 11.7-point power-rating edge (58.1 v 46.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.1% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Triestina holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Triestina
Probability
50.1%
Model confidence
50.1%
Triestina has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60
GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80