Triestinavs
Vicenza Virtus
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 10/20/2023, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Triestina are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Vicenza Virtus are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Vicenza Virtus hold a 3.8-point power-rating edge (58.1 v 61.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.0% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.0%
Model confidence
39.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80