GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 10/20/2023, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Triestina are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Vicenza Virtus are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Vicenza Virtus hold a 3.8-point power-rating edge (58.1 v 61.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.0% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

39.0%

Model confidence

39.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TriestinaWDWWW

GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Vicenza VirtusLLWWD

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
TriestinaVicenza Virtus
53.5Attack45.6
61.4Defence73.7
56.1Form62.3
58.1Power61.9
0.89xG0.97
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