Triestinavs
Union Brescia
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 11/2/2025, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Triestina are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Union Brescia are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Union Brescia hold a 4.0-point power-rating edge (58.1 v 62.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.6% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
40.6%
Model confidence
40.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
GF 6 · GA 1 · avg 1.20/0.20