Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Triestina · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Triestina are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Trento are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Triestina hold an 8.9-point power-rating edge (58.1 v 49.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.4% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Triestina holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Triestina
Probability
44.4%
Model confidence
44.4%
Triestina has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60