Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Triestina · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Triestina are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Trento are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Triestina hold an 8.9-point power-rating edge (58.1 v 49.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.4% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Triestina holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Triestina
Probability
44.4%
Model confidence
44.4%
Triestina has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20