Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Triestina · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Triestina are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Renate are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Triestina hold a 12.6-point power-rating edge (58.1 v 45.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.9% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Triestina holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Triestina
Probability
52.9%
Model confidence
52.9%
Triestina has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60